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European Central Bank interest rate decision in September Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 98%, play money 44% Lower by 0.25% or more: real money 1%, play money 27% Maintain the same rate: real money 1%, play money 16% Rise by 0.5% or more: real money 1%, play money 10% Volume: real money 569.49770423, play money 25226.28692129 Bettors: real money 9, play money 2 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 888.46857274, play 126870.5934067 Bettors: real 32, play 26 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 69% Leading (play money): Greater than 3.75% 69% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 923.16006409, play 112232.72867893 Bettors: real 40, play 33 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 89% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 89% Winner of France’s presidential election (ID: 237493) Volume: real 781.23536905, play 49551.59236283 Bettors: real 41, play 26 Leading (real money): Marine Le Pen 50% Leading (play money): Marine Le Pen 40% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1922.14262321, play 49243.53820347 Bettors: real 62, play 34 Leading (real money): 0 91% Leading (play money): 0 89%

European Central Bank interest rate decision in September

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on September 9 and 10, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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