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Which party will win the 2026 Berlin state election? Linke: real money 61%, play money 57% CDU: real money 17%, play money 19% AfD: real money 6%, play money 13% Grüne: real money 2%, play money 6% SPD: real money 2%, play money 4% Volume: real money 203.9664158, play money 6069.89414929 Bettors: real money 13, play money 5 Categories: Politics, Europe, Germany Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 2595.67110988, play 32428.76163468 Bettors: real 28, play 91 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 45% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 44% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116947.89325969 Bettors: real 39, play 214 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Brazil’s Next President Elect (ID: 233774) Volume: real 164229.86768506, play 2060648.61666481 Bettors: real 157, play 334 Leading (real money): Flávio Bolsonaro 80% Leading (play money): Flávio Bolsonaro 84% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1655.2215382, play 37150.61303342 Bettors: real 24, play 120 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 51% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Which party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?

Market Rules

Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the listed party wins the greatest number of seats in Berlin’s state parliament (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of the Berlin state election scheduled for September 20, 2026, per the official results of the Berlin election office. Markets resolve independently. All markets will resolve "No" if an unlisted party wins or the election does not take place by December 31, 2026.

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