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Europe

36

Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026

Less than 1.4%1%
1.4% to 1.6%2%
1.7% to 1.9%5%
2.0% to 2.2%5%
2.3% to 2.5%6%
2.6% to 2.9%5%
3.0% or more77%

Ramzan Kadyrov still head of the Chechen Republic through the end of 2026?

Ukraine to maintain control over ______ through the end of 2026?

Zakarpattia95%
Zaporizhzhia9%
Luhansk9%

Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...?

December 3131%
July 2750%

Winner of France’s presidential election

Marine Le Pen50%
Édouard Philippe26%
Jordan Bardella18%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
Gabriel Attal9%
Dominique de Villepin9%

Spain general election winner

PP83%
PSOE18%

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

14 or fewer5%
Between 15 and 17 (inclusive)7%
Between 18 and 22 (inclusive)34%
Between 23 and 27 (inclusive)38%
28 or more15%

United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

3.0% or less4%
3.25%5%
3.50%6%
3.75%16%
Greater than 3.75%69%

EUR/USD exchange rate at the end of 2026

Less than 1.1014%
Between 1.10 and 1.1744%
More than 1.17, less than 1.2429%
Between 1.24 and 1.3012%
More than 1.302%

UK election called by ...?

December 31, 202615%
June 30, 202740%

Next Prime Minister of Serbia

Aleksandar Vučić59%
Ilija Srdanović29%
Vladan Đokić6%
Stefan Krkobabić3%
Ana Brnabić3%

Will Trump visit Greenland in 2026?

Will Ukraine hold a national referendum on conceding territory in 2026?

Which countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?

No NATO member67%
United States9%
France9%

Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Will Russia control the Ukrainian access to the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov at the end of 2026?

Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Will NATO strike Russia in 2026?

Will Serbia normalize relations with Kosovo in 2026?

Will Russia recognize the independence of Transnistria in 2026?

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo78%
Pedro Sánchez12%
Santiago Abascal7%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso3%

Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026?

Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?

Will Russia attack a NATO member in 2026?

Lukashenko still President of Belarus through the end of 2026?

Will the US control Greenland in 2026?

Russia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?

Andy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by...?

June 30, 202715%
December 31, 20269%

Will Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?

Russia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?

Will Greenland become independent in 2026?

Severe nuclear accident in the Zaporizhzhia plant in 2026?

Will the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?

Will Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?

Scotland independent from the UK by the end of 2026?

Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?