Brazil’s Next President Elect
- Flávio Bolsonaro57%
- Lula42%
- Romeu Zema1%
- Renan Santos1%
- Ronaldo Caiado1%
- Tarcísio de Freitas2%
- Eduardo Leite2%
- Ratinho Júnior1%
Politics
48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Yes45%
No55%
Acre governor election
- Mailza Assis65%
- Alan Rick35%
Elected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026
- Marília Campos85%
- Carlos Viana56%
- Domingos Sávio45%
- Marcelo Aro17%
- Alexandre Silveira2%
- Alexandre Kalil2%
Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026
- Elmano de Freitas67%
- Ciro Gomes33%
- Eduardo Girão1%
- Professor Jarir Pereira Pereira1%
Elected Senators for São Paulo in 2026
- André do Prado74%
- Guilherme Derrite50%
- Marina Silva33%
- Simone Tebet26%
- Ricardo Salles3%
- Márcio França2%
- Coronel Mello Araújo1%
Will Brazil’s presidential election be decided in the first round?
Yes1%
No99%
Elected Governor of Alagoas in 2026
- JHC61%
- Renan Filho40%
Elected Senators for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026
- Marcel van Hattem82%
- Sanderson60%
- Manuela D'Ávila39%
- Paulo Pimenta21%
- Eduardo Leite1%
Lula to finish his presidential term?
Yes97%
No3%
Will Lula nominate another person to STF before election day?
Yes9%
No91%
Elected Governor of Paraná in 2026
- Sergio Moro (PL)82%
- Sandro Alex (PSD)12%
- Requião Filho (PDT)6%
Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026
- Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos)89%
- Patrus Ananias (PT)6%
- Mateus Simões (PSD)4%
- Alexandre Kalil (PDT)2%
- Ben Mendes (Missão)2%
- Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB)1%
- Gabriel Azevedo (MDB)1%
- Marcelo Aro1%
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
- Eduardo Paes73%
- Douglas Ruas31%
- Bombeiro Rafa2%
- William Siri2%
- Wilson Witzel2%
- Ítalo Marsili1%
Elected Senators for Rio de Janeiro in 2026
- Carlos Jordy (PL)70%
- Carlos Portinho (PL)65%
- Benedita da Silva (PT)58%
- Pedro Paulo (PSD)20%
- Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos)17%
- Mônica Benício (PSOL)8%
- Marcio Canella (União)1%
Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026?
Yes15%
No85%
Bahia governor election
- Jerônimo Rodrigues57%
- ACM Neto43%
Elected Senators for Alagoas in 2026
- Marina JHC68%
- Arthur Lira61%
- Renan Calheiros55%
- Davi Davino Filho22%
- Paulão1%
- Alfredo Gaspar1%
New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026?
Yes20%
No80%
Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026?
Yes10%
No90%
Elected governor for Rio Grande do Sul in 2026
- Luciano Zucco69%
- Juliana Brizola32%
- Gabriel Souza4%
- Marcelo Maranata2%
- Edegar Pretto1%
Arrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
Yes9%
No91%
Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?
Yes9%
No91%
Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
Yes7%
No93%
Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
Yes5%
No95%
Pernambuco governor election
- Raquel Lyra57%
- João Campos43%
Pará governor election
- Hana Ghassan66%
- Dr. Daniel Santos34%
MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term
- More than 18051%
- Between 140 and 18038%
- More than 100, less than 1404%
- Between 60 and 1004%
- Less than 603%
Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?
Yes62%
No38%
Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026?
Yes15%
No85%
Which of Brazil's military commanders will remain in office through the end of 2026?
- Army Commander (General Tomás Paiva)92%
- Air Force Commander (Brigadier Marcelo Damasceno)91%
- Marine Commander (Admiral Marcos Olsen)90%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
Yes19%
No81%
Will Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?
Yes41%
No59%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?
Yes6%
No94%
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Yes7%
No93%
Elected Governor of São Paulo in 2026
- Tarcísio de Freitas95%
- Fernando Haddad4%
- Paulo Serra1%
- Kim Kataguiri1%
Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?
- June 30, 202715%
- December 31, 202611%
Mandatory Union Contribution reintroduced in Brazil by the end of 2026?
Yes11%
No89%
Brazilian STF justice removed by impeachment by end of 2027?
Yes17%
No83%
Brazil in the top 10-20% countries in the 2027 Democracy Report ranking?
Yes68%
No32%