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Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026? Yes: real money 81%, play money 79% No: real money 19%, play money 21% Volume: real money 106.18886594, play money 11350.0026 Bettors: real money 6, play money 10 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.42042505, play 38229.5986922 Bettors: real 10, play 81 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 71% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 38% Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 215.40651517, play 48985.7979 Bettors: real 6, play 12 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 24% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 39% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 212.44384839, play 12350.3851826 Bettors: real 19, play 54 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 74% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 573.31231084, play 82713.55614915 Bettors: real 25, play 189 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 88%

Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026?

Market Rules

Arctic sea ice reaches its minimum extension each September.

If the data displayed by NASA at https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/arctic-sea-ice/

on October 2026 indicates that the annual September minimum Arctic sea ice extent was lower than that observed in 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes".

Futuur will only take into account the data as available by early October 2026. Possible future revisions of the figures will not alter the resolution of the market.

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