Atmospheric methane concentrations to grow in 2025? Yes: real money 91%, play money 91% No: real money 9%, play money 9% Volume: real money 79.976, play money 20200.0058 Bettors: real money 0, play money 1 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 211.65193697, play 12350.3851826 Bettors: real 3, play 53 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 74% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 573.31231084, play 82713.55614915 Bettors: real 25, play 189 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 84% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 88% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.69527532, play 444537.5891163 Bettors: real 39, play 1216 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 50% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 25% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.42042505, play 38229.5986922 Bettors: real 10, play 81 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 71% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 38%

Atmospheric methane concentrations to grow in 2025?

Market Rules

The World Meteorological Organization annually publishes a report tracking the release of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. According to the report published in October 2025, in 2024 there was an increase in the levels of methane, a gas that contributes to the intensification of the studied effect. In 2023 there were 1934 parts per billion, while in 2024 the average was 1942 ± 2 parts per billion.

If the data in the next report from the World Meteorological Organization about the release of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (expected to be published in the second half of 2026) shows that methane gas levels in the atmosphere in 2025 were higher than 1942 parts per billion, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Source: https://public.wmo.int/en/greenhouse-gas-bulletin

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