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Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? Yes: real money 13%, play money 12% No: real money 87%, play money 88% Volume: real money 204.94079964, play money 22600.0068 Bettors: real money 1, play money 3 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? (ID: 225852) Volume: real 300.94428972, play 15780.0160979 Bettors: real 4, play 13 Leading (real money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 24% Leading (play money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 33% Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 116.73049031, play 2983.02251088 Bettors: real 20, play 22 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 21% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 83%

Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether binding term limits for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States will be enacted at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted federal legislation or constitutional amendments establishing such limits.

If binding term limits for Supreme Court justices are enacted during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Term limits applying only to future justices, and not affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes". If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. legal or national news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive enactment of term limits, not proposals or debate. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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