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Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026? Yes: real money 13%, play money 10% No: real money 87%, play money 90% Volume: real money 205.24107536, play money 23155.53229814 Bettors: real money 6, play money 6 Categories: Politics, USA, Supreme Court Related markets Next Justice to leave the US Supreme Court (ID: 149805) Volume: real 124.4075263, play 3293.40783221 Bettors: real 40, play 32 Leading (real money): Clarence Thomas 21% Leading (play money): Clarence Thomas 85% Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? (ID: 225852) Volume: real 301.01443677, play 15922.75864718 Bettors: real 6, play 16 Leading (real money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 22% Leading (play money): Will the SCOTUS decide that the POTUS can fire a member of the Fed's board without cause by June 30? 30%

Term limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether binding term limits for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States will be enacted at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be enacted federal legislation or constitutional amendments establishing such limits.

If binding term limits for Supreme Court justices are enacted during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Term limits applying only to future justices, and not affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes". If official legal texts are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. legal or national news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive enactment of term limits, not proposals or debate. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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