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How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026? 14 or fewer: real money 5%, play money 5% Between 15 and 17 (inclusive): real money 10%, play money 11% Between 18 and 22 (inclusive): real money 33%, play money 33% Between 23 and 27 (inclusive): real money 37%, play money 37% 28 or more: real money 15%, play money 15% Volume: real money 0.40057209, play money 905.77868957 Bettors: real money 8, play money 9 Categories: Politics, Europe, Montenegro Related markets China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? (ID: 133863) Volume: real 1711.95573343, play 247606.92725054 Bettors: real 35, play 510 Leading (real money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 100% Leading (play money): China to try to take Taiwan using military force by the end of 2026? 9% Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 1042.78421446, play 58809.32473093 Bettors: real 63, play 55 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of 2026? (ID: 239444) Volume: real 3014.62666363, play 9707.83641566 Bettors: real 34, play 33 Leading (real money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 60% Leading (play money): Between $ 60,000 and $ 74,999.99 31% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 500.76227835, play 20682.45780431 Bettors: real 16, play 33 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 9%

How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC. Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis. Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".

The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.

Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed. Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.

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