Jair Bolsonaro convicted of embezzlement by the end of 2025? Yes: real money 8%, play money 5% No: real money 92%, play money 95% Volume: real money 152.193904, play money 22610 Bettors: real money 3, play money 8 Categories: Politics, Brazil, Scandals Related markets Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026? (ID: 231542) Volume: real 205.43856192, play 25186.12558941 Bettors: real 6, play 6 Leading (real money): Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026? 19% Leading (play money): Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026? 14% Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? (ID: 231687) Volume: real 243.84599191, play 25038.34974155 Bettors: real 10, play 10 Leading (real money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 27% Leading (play money): Arrest of any of Lula's ministers in 2026? 24% How many ‘Core #1’ convicts from Brazil’s coup plot trial will lose military ranks in 2026? (ID: 231733) Volume: real 414.17589971, play 33899.9963 Bettors: real 21, play 8 Leading (real money): 0 63% Leading (play money): 0 68% MST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term (ID: 176644) Volume: real 228.59571954, play 19156.73 Bettors: real 34, play 76 Leading (real money): More than 180 57% Leading (play money): More than 180 41% PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? (ID: 203256) Volume: real 193.96571578, play 58144.12388111 Bettors: real 7, play 14 Leading (real money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 3% Leading (play money): PSDB to cease to exist in Brazil by July 1, 2026? 2%

Jair Bolsonaro convicted of embezzlement by the end of 2025?

Market Rules

After leaving the presidency of Brazil, Jair Bolsonaro was accused of appropriating gifts he had received while in office — especially jewelry — and attempting to sell them for personal gain. According to some legal experts, this practice could be considered peculation, or embezzlement, with a penalty ranging from 2 to 12 years of imprisonment in case of conviction.

If Jair Bolsonaro is judicially convicted of peculation or embezzlement by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of the specific penalty imposed in the case.

A conviction that is immediately appealed will still be considered valid for a 'Yes' resolution.

Tags

Related Markets