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Will the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026? Yes: real money 8%, play money 15% No: real money 92%, play money 85% Volume: real money 51.17922546, play money 1400.0949 Bettors: real money 6, play money 8 Categories: Finance, Big Companies, X (Twitter) Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 1090.93013677, play 59815.01606926 Bettors: real 65, play 56 Leading (real money): SpaceX 91% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? (ID: 201462) Volume: real 1193.64966827, play 186009.51544517 Bettors: real 28, play 146 Leading (real money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 8% Leading (play money): SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? 18% SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? (ID: 188272) Volume: real 787.02162046, play 64712.79252399 Bettors: real 21, play 90 Leading (real money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 23% Leading (play money): SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? 5%

Will the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?

Market Rules

This event predicts whether the European Union will block access to X (formerly Twitter) across one or more EU member states at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive). For this market, blocking means a legally enforced restriction preventing general public access to the platform. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official EU or member-state government announcements or enforcement actions confirming such a block.

If the EU or its member states legally block access to X during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Temporary outages or voluntary service changes will not count. If official actions are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations. Resolution will reflect substantive legal blocking, not technical disruptions. If a definitive determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel this market with a public explanation.

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