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European Central Bank decision in April Maintain the same rate: real money 97%, play money 97% Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 4%, play money 5% Lower by 0.5% or more: real money 2%, play money 1% Lower by 0.25%: real money 1%, play money 2% Volume: real money 639.32218913, play money 47255.009 Bettors: real money 7, play money 13 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 348.57914563, play 33309.7901 Bettors: real 9, play 19 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? (ID: 216199) Volume: real 166.79625983, play 24969.99470636 Bettors: real 4, play 12 Leading (real money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026? 20% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 500.50877752, play 13528.52424286 Bettors: real 30, play 17 Leading (real money): 1 39% Leading (play money): 2 30% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 217.95915373, play 27471.31727959 Bettors: real 6, play 27 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 50% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 18% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 247.95289893, play 30000.0136 Bettors: real 5, play 14 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 15% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 21%

European Central Bank decision in April

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on April 29 and 30, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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