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European Central Bank interest rate decision in July Maintain the same rate: real money 97%, play money 85% Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 3%, play money 8% Lower by 0.25% or more: real money 2%, play money 5% Rise by 0.5% or more: real money 2%, play money 2% Volume: real money 475.46407011, play money 295 Bettors: real money 22, play money 11 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 549.25381012, play 19358.62570033 Bettors: real 32, play 25 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 43% Leading (play money): 3.25% 29% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 540.51961651, play 85964.99639342 Bettors: real 40, play 30 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 70% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 71% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1500.54981311, play 30792.20561674 Bettors: real 61, play 32 Leading (real money): 0 68% Leading (play money): 0 60% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 560.53543016, play 52232.01459531 Bettors: real 19, play 38 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 10% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 3%

European Central Bank interest rate decision in July

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on July 22 and 23, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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