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European Central Bank interest rate decision in July Maintain the same rate: real money 85%, play money 85% Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 8%, play money 8% Lower by 0.25% or more: real money 5%, play money 5% Rise by 0.5% or more: real money 2%, play money 2% Volume: real money 59.982, play money 6000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 362.46732015, play 33419.78025347 Bettors: real 13, play 21 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Will the US control Greenland in 2026? (ID: 231573) Volume: real 253.94679795, play 31602.09372318 Bettors: real 11, play 19 Leading (real money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 13% Leading (play money): Will the US control Greenland in 2026? 19% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1444.65039679, play 36349.77330934 Bettors: real 59, play 28 Leading (real money): 0 69% Leading (play money): 0 71% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 338.6421835, play 27819.24808037 Bettors: real 13, play 32 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 20% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Next target for Brazil's SELIC interest rate (June) (ID: 238393) Volume: real 2401.21114747, play 32030.64126987 Bettors: real 28, play 21 Leading (real money): Lower by 0.25% 84% Leading (play money): Lower by 0.25% 60%

European Central Bank interest rate decision in July

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on July 22 and 23, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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