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Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money —, play money — 25 bps decrease: real money —, play money — No change: real money —, play money — 25 bps increase: real money —, play money — 50+ bps increase: real money —, play money — Volume: real money 0, play money 0 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 459.56326686, play 85964.99639342 Bettors: real 39, play 30 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 64% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 71% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1489.38484684, play 30649.51116648 Bettors: real 61, play 32 Leading (real money): 0 67% Leading (play money): 0 60% Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? (ID: 222362) Volume: real 1619.71988078, play 36328.18707992 Bettors: real 24, play 118 Leading (real money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 49% Leading (play money): Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? 75%

Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range resulting from the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting (scheduled for September 15–16, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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