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Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 50+ bps decrease: real money 2%, play money 1% 25 bps decrease: real money 1%, play money 1% No change: real money 34%, play money 34% 25 bps increase: real money 63%, play money 63% 50+ bps increase: real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 1049.84301282, play money 9308.11021658 Bettors: real money 18, play money 3 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, United States, Interest Rates Related markets Winner of the next US Presidential Election (ID: 211457) Volume: real 1755.66850182, play 28490.17512169 Bettors: real 24, play 85 Leading (real money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 41% Leading (play money): Winner of the next US Presidential Election 38% Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026? (ID: 231765) Volume: real 1504.07725659, play 138904.14217906 Bettors: real 87, play 106 Leading (real money): Tulsi Gabbard 86% Leading (play money): Tulsi Gabbard 97% Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections (ID: 211468) Volume: real 1111.38306679, play 49356.17081938 Bettors: real 18, play 52 Leading (real money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 10% Leading (play money): Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections 16% Trump to serve his full term? (ID: 198250) Volume: real 2715.2344096, play 116466.23915531 Bettors: real 39, play 212 Leading (real money): Trump to serve his full term? 93% Leading (play money): Trump to serve his full term? 72% Will Trump be impeached in his second term? (ID: 212720) Volume: real 3246.73501219, play 138456.22057252 Bettors: real 30, play 210 Leading (real money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 2% Leading (play money): Will Trump be impeached in his second term? 47%

Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

Market Rules

Markets in this event resolve according to the change, in basis points, in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range resulting from the Federal Reserve’s September 2026 FOMC meeting (scheduled for September 15–16, 2026), relative to its level immediately prior to the meeting. Exactly one outcome will resolve "Yes".

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