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Science

8

Will 2026 be the warmest year on record?

Yes84%
No16%

Hole in the Ozone layer to increase in 2027?

Yes33%
No67%

Atmospheric methane concentrations to grow in 2026?

Yes93%
No7%

Average global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?

  • 1.52 °C or higher23%
  • Between 1.48 °C and 1.51 °C (inclusive)17%
  • Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C (inclusive)38%
  • Between 1.39 °C and 1.42 °C (inclusive)15%
  • Below 1.39 °C6%

Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC

  • Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm46%
  • Between 3.71 mm to 4.2 mm19%
  • Greater than 4.21 mm19%
  • 3.2 mm or less15%

Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2027?

Yes55%
No45%

Will marine species threatened of extinction rise to 1700 in 2027's Starfish Barometer?

Yes45%
No55%

Atmospheric nitrous oxide concentrations to grow in 2026?

Yes97%
No3%
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