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Top AI model (LLM) for coding in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024 Gemini (Google): real money 66%, play money 71% Claude (Anthropic): real money 16%, play money 3% GPT (OpenAI): real money 14%, play money 25% Other: real money 3%, play money 1% Volume: real money 322.85079199, play money 24500 Bettors: real money 12, play money 15 Categories: Finance, Artificial Intelligence Related markets Companies to go public in 2026 (ID: 233778) Volume: real 5343.62404981, play 108820.82225435 Bettors: real 68, play 68 Leading (real money): Anthropic 94% Leading (play money): SpaceX 94% Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026? (ID: 239702) Volume: real 286.22021898, play 88675.64076532 Bettors: real 23, play 24 Leading (real money): Anthropic 67% Leading (play money): Anthropic 65%

Top AI model (LLM) for coding in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of 2024

Market Rules

For the sake of this market, the "top AI model" is defined as the model holding the number one position on the <b>"Coding"</b> ranking of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard, developed by members of LMSYS and UC Berkeley SkyLab, as of 11:59 p.m. (UTC-3) on December 31, 2024.

Any updates or changes to the leaderboard after this time will not affect the market resolution. If the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard is unavailable or ceases to be updated, an alternative credible source, such as a widely recognized AI research publication or authority, will be used to determine the top AI model.

"Other" refers to any AI model not covered by a brand or responsible organization listed in the other outcomes. If the top AI model is a derivation of one of the models described in an outcome (a modification made by developers, for instance), then the original model outcome will be the winning resolution of this market.

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