Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? Yes: real money 20%, play money 20% No: real money 80%, play money 80% Volume: real money 99.99, play money 10000 Bettors: real money 0, play money 0 Categories: Finance, Artificial Intelligence, AI Regulation Related markets Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231720) Volume: real 3067.00522963, play 249130.43471734 Bettors: real 47, play 63 Leading (real money): Anthropic 76% Leading (play money): Anthropic 74%

Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?

Market Rules

If, between January 1, 2026 00:00:00 UTC and December 31, 2026 22:59:59 UTC, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is formally adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The Primary Designated Source is the Official Journal of the European Union (eur-lex.europa.eu), supported by the European Commission's press releases. "Adopted" means the legal act has completed the EU legislative process (i.e., signed and published in the Official Journal); proposals, Council positions, or Parliament-only readings do not count. National-level laws by individual Member States (e.g., France, Germany), Council Recommendations without binding effect, and non-EU bodies (e.g., UK Online Safety Act) do not count. Voluntary industry codes adopted under existing EU frameworks (such as the DSA) that do not introduce new mandatory age verification do not count. A consensus of credible reporting (e. g. Reuters, AP, Politico Europe, Euractiv) may be used to confirm adoption. In ambiguous edge cases, resolution will follow the spirit of the question.

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