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Will the global temperature in July 2024 be higher than the temperature observed in July 2023? No: real money 70%, play money 10% Yes: real money 30%, play money 90% Volume: real money 238.93863966, play money 28630.1 Bettors: real money 13, play money 42 Categories: Science, Environmental Indicators Related markets Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? (ID: 231553) Volume: real 215.40651517, play 48985.7979 Bettors: real 6, play 12 Leading (real money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 24% Leading (play money): Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? 39% Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142272) Volume: real 343.40282505, play 38229.5986922 Bettors: real 10, play 81 Leading (real money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 72% Leading (play money): Global presence of algae in coral reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 36% Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? (ID: 134871) Volume: real 1069.87900473, play 444831.44739855 Bettors: real 43, play 1218 Leading (real money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 62% Leading (play money): Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026? 29% Average annual rise in sea level in the next report prepared by the IPCC (ID: 138696) Volume: real 212.44384839, play 12350.3851826 Bettors: real 19, play 54 Leading (real money): Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 43% Leading (play money): Greater than 4.21 mm 74% Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? (ID: 142271) Volume: real 573.28571084, play 82713.55614915 Bettors: real 25, play 189 Leading (real money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 85% Leading (play money): Total area of dead Coral Reefs to increase in comparison to 2021? 90%

Will the global temperature in July 2024 be higher than the temperature observed in July 2023?

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According to the US Environmental Information Centers of Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), November 2023 was the warmest month ever in the world since it began recording global temperature 144 years ago. This "milestone" is yet another alarm of the climate crisis arising from human activity, and raises questions about the measurements for the coming months.

If the rise in the world's global temperature — i.e. the combination of both land surface and ocean temperatures — for July 2024 is greater than +1.20°C (the recorded rise for July 2023), this market will resolve to “Yes”.

This market will be resolved based on the data made available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/all/8/2015-2024

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