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Best AI model at the end of 2025 Gemini (Google): real money 97%, play money 95% Claude (Anthropic): real money 1%, play money 2% GPT (OpenAI): real money 1%, play money 1% Other: real money 1%, play money 1% Grok (xAI): real money 1%, play money 1% Llama (Meta): real money 1%, play money 1% Volume: real money 3952.53880908, play money 43270 Bettors: real money 51, play money 55 Categories: Finance, Artificial Intelligence Related markets Which company will have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (ID: 231720) Volume: real 2813.84562335, play 248997.10021105 Bettors: real 47, play 62 Leading (real money): Anthropic 76% Leading (play money): Anthropic 74%

Best AI model at the end of 2025

Market Rules

For the sake of this market, the "best AI model" is defined as the model holding the number one position ("RankStyleCtrl") on the "Overall" ranking of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard, developed by members of LMSYS and UC Berkeley SkyLab, as of 11:59 p.m. (UTC-3) on December 31, 2025. In the event of a tie, the highest "Arena Score" will be used as the tiebreaker. If this is insufficient, the highest number of votes will define the winner.

Any updates or changes to the leaderboard after this time will not affect the market resolution. If the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard is unavailable or ceases to be updated, an alternative credible source, such as a widely recognized AI research publication or authority, will be used to determine the top AI model.

"Other" refers to any AI model not covered by a brand or responsible organization listed in the other outcomes. If the top AI model is a derivation of one of the models described in an outcome (a modification made by developers, for instance), then the original model outcome will be the winning resolution of this market.

If the LMSYS Chatbot Arena significantly changes its ranking methodology, Futuur may use an alternative reputable source for resolution.

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