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Banxico interest rate decision in May Lower the rate: real money 73%, play money 55% Maintain the same rate: real money 22%, play money 42% Increase the rate: real money 2%, play money 3% Volume: real money 709.83196497, play money 49946.7029 Bettors: real money 7, play money 8 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, Mexico Related markets Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? (ID: 232194) Volume: real 300.94009994, play 32002.0224 Bettors: real 1, play 9 Leading (real money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 90% Leading (play money): Will Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026? 91% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 500.50877752, play 13528.52424286 Bettors: real 30, play 17 Leading (real money): 1 39% Leading (play money): 2 30% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 242.80817131, play 15685.71538571 Bettors: real 5, play 4 Leading (real money): 3.00%-3.24% 26% Leading (play money): 3.00%-3.24% 24% European Central Bank decision in April (ID: 236193) Volume: real 639.32218913, play 47255.009 Bettors: real 7, play 13 Leading (real money): Maintain the same rate 97% Leading (play money): Maintain the same rate 97% Will the US strike Mexico by ...? (ID: 234471) Volume: real 156.36931606, play 9241.6396 Bettors: real 5, play 5 Leading (real money): December 31 8% Leading (play money): December 31 24%

Banxico interest rate decision in May

Market Rules

This set of markets will resolve based on the target level of the Banco de México (Banxico) policy interest rate decided at its monetary policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is Banxico’s official monetary policy statement and accompanying materials published after the conclusion of the meeting, which specify the new target rate.

If Banxico’s official publication is delayed, unclear, or internally inconsistent, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from highly reputable financial news organizations reporting Banxico’s announced decision. Resolution will be based on the substantive policy decision and the intent of the market, not on minor technicalities of wording or formatting. If a clear determination cannot be made, Futuur may cancel the market with a public explanation.

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