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European Central Bank interest rate decision in June Rise by 0.25% or more: real money 95%, play money 92% Maintain the same rate: real money 4%, play money 6% Lower by 0.25%: real money 3%, play money 2% Lower by 0.5% or more: real money 2%, play money 2% Volume: real money 723.11607236, play money 51359.7585647 Bettors: real money 13, play money 14 Categories: Finance, Economic Indicators, European Union Related markets Will Greenland become independent in 2026? (ID: 231572) Volume: real 176.58745765, play 14620.26262878 Bettors: real 13, play 23 Leading (real money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 10% Leading (play money): Will Greenland become independent in 2026? 9% United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231730) Volume: real 458.38557718, play 8289.86959509 Bettors: real 31, play 21 Leading (real money): Greater than 3.75% 28% Leading (play money): 3.25% 34% US basic interest rate at the end of 2026 (ID: 231723) Volume: real 446.50593254, play 85964.99639342 Bettors: real 37, play 30 Leading (real money): 3.5% or more 80% Leading (play money): 3.5% or more 89% Number of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026 (ID: 231724) Volume: real 1489.38484684, play 29206.91616648 Bettors: real 61, play 28 Leading (real money): 0 72% Leading (play money): 0 71% Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? (ID: 228886) Volume: real 531.46017994, play 20791.15735588 Bettors: real 17, play 34 Leading (real money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 15% Leading (play money): Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? 9%

European Central Bank interest rate decision in June

Market Rules

This event predicts the decision taken by the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding the next target level of the Eurozone deposit facility interest rate. The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the European Central Bank, using the official bank rate history and monetary policy decisions published on the ECB’s website. The relevant decision is the one announced following the ECB’s scheduled monetary policy meeting on June 10 and 11, 2026.

If the ECB’s publication is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official ECB communications or a clear consensus of reporting by major international financial news organizations citing ECB data. The markets will be resolved according to the substantive policy decision and market intent, not minor technicalities of presentation or wording; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.

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