Euro area’s inflation rate in 2026
- Less than 1.4%1%
- 1.4% to 1.6%2%
- 1.7% to 1.9%5%
- 2.0% to 2.2%5%
- 2.3% to 2.5%6%
- 2.6% to 2.9%5%
- 3.0% or more77%
European Union
14
Will a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?
Yes17%
No83%
Lecornu out as French Prime Minister by...?
- December 3133%
- July 2750%
Winner of France’s presidential election
- Marine Le Pen50%
- Édouard Philippe26%
- Jordan Bardella18%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
- Dominique de Villepin9%
- Gabriel Attal9%
Spain general election winner
- PP83%
- PSOE18%
How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
- 14 or fewer5%
- Between 15 and 17 (inclusive)7%
- Between 18 and 22 (inclusive)34%
- Between 23 and 27 (inclusive)38%
- 28 or more15%
EUR/USD exchange rate at the end of 2026
- Less than 1.1014%
- Between 1.10 and 1.1744%
- More than 1.17, less than 1.2429%
- Between 1.24 and 1.3012%
- More than 1.302%
Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?
Yes11%
No89%
Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Yes20%
No80%
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo78%
- Pedro Sánchez12%
- Santiago Abascal7%
- Isabel Díaz Ayuso3%
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
Yes69%
No31%
Will the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
Yes8%
No92%
Will Ukraine sign an EU Accession Treaty by December 2027?
Yes7%
No93%
Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
Yes11%
No89%