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Brazil

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Brazil’s Next President Elect

Flávio Bolsonaro86%
Lula14%
Eduardo Leite2%
Tarcísio de Freitas2%
Aldo Rebelo1%
Ratinho Júnior1%
Ronaldo Caiado1%
Renan Santos1%

Brazil Selic rate decision — November 2026 COPOM meeting

50+ bps decrease5%
25 bps decrease84%
No change10%
25 bps increase1%
50+ bps increase1%

Acre governor election

Mailza Assis97%
Alan Rick3%

Brazil monthly inflation (IPCA) — October 2026

0.19% or less5%
Between 0.20% and 0.29%14%
Between 0.30% and 0.39%25%
Between 0.40% and 0.49%21%
0.50% or more34%

Elected governor of Amazonas in 2026?

Omar Aziz82%
Professora Maria do Carmo18%

Elected governor of Rio Grande do Norte in 2026?

Allyson Bezerra66%
Cadu de Lula34%

USD/BRL exchange rate at the end of 2026

Less than 4.9011%
Between 4.90 and 5.2059%
More than 5.20, less than 5.5028%
Between 5.50 and 5.801%
More than 5.80, less than 6.101%
6.10 or more1%

Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026?

Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?

Brazilian STF justice removed by impeachment by end of 2027?

Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?

Lula to finish his presidential term?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Brazil to reach "Investment Grade" by the end of 2026?

Elected governor of Tocantins in 2026?

Professora Dorinha52%
Vicentinho Júnior48%

Will the next President of Brazil's Senate be from the PL?

Will Jair Bolsonaro leave prison by the end of January 2027?

Elected governor of Espírito Santo in 2026?

Lorenzo Pazolini90%
Ricardo Ferraço10%

Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against an STF justice by the end of 2027?

Will the next Speaker of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies be from the PL?

Elected governor of the Federal District in 2026?

Celina Leão92%
Leandro Grass8%

Will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate each other before Brazil's presidential runoff?

Brazil's GDP annual growth rate in 2026

1.0% or less6%
Between 1.1% and 1.5%12%
Between 1.6% and 2.0%55%
Between 2.1% and 2.5%22%
2.6% or more5%

Negative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?

Brazilian corn crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?

Brazilian soybean crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?

Will the US and Brazil close a rare earths deal in 2026?

Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?

Either Fitch or S&P to raise Brazil’s sovereign bond rating in 2026?

B3 circuit breaker in 2026?

Will Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?

June 30, 202715%
December 31, 202611%

Mandatory Union Contribution reintroduced in Brazil by the end of 2026?

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026?

Brazil in the top 10-20% countries in the 2027 Democracy Report ranking?

Brazil's to rank better in the next Corruption Perception Index (CPI)?