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Brazil

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Will Jair Bolsonaro leave prison by the end of January 2027?

Brazil Selic rate decision — November 2026 COPOM meeting

50+ bps decrease5%
25 bps decrease25%
No change59%
25 bps increase2%
50+ bps increase10%

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?

Brazil monthly inflation (IPCA) — October 2026

0.19% or less4%
Between 0.20% and 0.29%15%
Between 0.30% and 0.39%41%
Between 0.40% and 0.49%25%
0.50% or more15%

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?

Will Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?

USD/BRL exchange rate at the end of 2026

Less than 4.9011%
Between 4.90 and 5.2059%
More than 5.20, less than 5.5028%
Between 5.50 and 5.801%
More than 5.80, less than 6.101%
6.10 or more1%

Will Amazon rainforest deforestation be lower in 2027 compared to 2026?

Lula to finish his presidential term?

Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against an STF justice by the end of 2027?

Will the next President of Brazil's Senate be from the PL?

Negative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Brazil's GDP annual growth rate in 2026

1.0% or less6%
Between 1.1% and 1.5%12%
Between 1.6% and 2.0%55%
Between 2.1% and 2.5%22%
2.6% or more5%

Brazilian corn crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?

Brazilian soybean crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?

Will the next Speaker of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies be from the PL?

Will the US and Brazil close a rare earths deal in 2026?

Brazil to reduce illegal deforestation by at least 50% by 2026?

Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026?

Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?

Either Fitch or S&P to raise Brazil’s sovereign bond rating in 2026?

B3 circuit breaker in 2026?

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?

June 30, 202715%
December 31, 202611%

Mandatory Union Contribution reintroduced in Brazil by the end of 2026?

Brazilian STF justice removed by impeachment by end of 2027?

Brazil to join OPEC by the end of 2026?

Will Silas Malafaia be arrested by the end of 2026?

Brazil in the top 10-20% countries in the 2027 Democracy Report ranking?

Brazil's to rank better in the next Corruption Perception Index (CPI)?

Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026?

Will the fake news inquiry be closed in Brazil's Supreme Court by the end of 2026?

Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term?

Brazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?

Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?

Brazil to reach "Investment Grade" by the end of 2026?