Will the Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026?
Yes5%
No95%
Congress
23
Knesset vote of confidence in a new Israeli government in 2026
Yes38%
No62%
Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026?
Yes13%
No87%
Impeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
Yes3%
No97%
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Yes11%
No89%
Which party will win the US House in 2028?
- Democratic Party78%
- Republican Party24%
Who will be the next President of Brazil's Senate?
- Rogério Marinho45%
- Davi Alcolumbre40%
- Tereza Cristina10%
Which party will win the US Senate in 2028?
- Democratic Party87%
- Republican Party12%
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
Yes20%
No80%
Who will be the next President of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies?
- Hugo Motta80%
- Sóstenes Cavalcante12%
Will the next President of Brazil's Senate be from the PL?
Yes47%
No53%
Will the Anti-CBDC Act be signed into law in 2026?
Yes53%
No47%
Mike Johnson still Speaker of the House at the end of 2026?
Yes81%
No19%
Will the next Speaker of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies be from the PL?
Yes22%
No78%
Bill 2633/20 (a.k.a. "PL da Grilagem") approved in Brazil's Congress by the end of 2026?
Yes9%
No91%
Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Yes17%
No83%
Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?
Yes9%
No91%
Dias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ...?
- June 30, 202715%
- December 31, 202611%
Will Section 230 of the CDA (Communications Decency Act) be _____ in 2026?
- Revised or replaced with new legislation12%
- Revoked7%
Will the US Congress pass, and the President sign, a binding frontier-AI law before 2027?
Yes6%
No94%
New limits to monocratic decisions in Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) in 2026?
Yes12%
No88%
Will a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026?
Yes20%
No80%
Will Rep. Ilhan Omar be federally charged by…?
- October 314%
- December 3124%